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I've promoted "Domino-on-Debian" as "Black Box" solution to deploy a Notes back-office appliance to the SMB-market. The TCO is perfect, but the support issue becomes a deal-killer. The proposition is to put "Domino-on-Debian" into the top 10% of the 2-million SMB sites, as a secure, industrial-strength alternative to the Windows solution.
So, counted that way, there should be some 200,000 Domino servers sold into the "Express-Space" at $2500 USD (retail) to IBM, or some $500,000,000, which "aught" to cover any incremental support costs.<g>.
The key to this is "Bare-bones Debian", with just enough OS to run Domino, and keep it safe (e.g. Bastille), then scale the HW to meet performance requirements (which should be 1/3rd cost of similar Windows solution).
I would take this solution and productize it to be sold in all the major retail outlets, such as "Best Buy", etc, where it would garner "mind-share".
As for "Notes-on-Debian", I think we're still a couple of years away, but there's a bunch of SMB clients that are shaking at thier future with Vista, so maybe a first-class IBM "Debian-based" solution for the desktop would bring in 10's to 100's of SMB clients (desktops) PER server.
If I were IBM, I'd bundle a 10 to 100-user pack with the "Domino-on-Debian Appliance", and give it a crack.
Feedback response number WEBB7274HF created by ~Wendy Asaresaburoni on 04/12/2007